Taipei, Taiwan

Thousands packed Taipei’s Ketagalan Boulevard on Thursday night to show their support for Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), two days before 19 million eligible voters decide who will lead the democratic island for the next four years.

Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te (left) and his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim at an election rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.
Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te (left) and his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim at an election rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.

Among the estimated 120,000 people present was Dean, a 21-year old student, who told HKFP he was there because he thought DPP presidential candidate William Lai Ching-te was “the right choice.”

“People in the past gave their life so that now we have this,” Dean said, gesturing at the crowd around him. “I think we have to use our vote to keep it this way.”

Taiwan first held democratic elections in 1996, after emerging from one-party rule under the Kuomintang (KMT), and decades of martial law – during which tens of thousands died.

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The opposition KMT has evolved significantly since, but remains more socially conservative and promotes warmer ties and stronger trade partnerships with Beijing. The DPP, which has been in power for two four-year terms, has favoured US relations, resulting in increased Chinese military incursions around the island.

This year there is a third hopeful vying to become the island’s next leader: Ko Wen-je of the Taiwan People’s Party. He has positioned himself firmly between the DPP and the KMT, and has succeeded in garnering significant youth support thanks, in part, to his massive social media following.

Dean said many of his classmates had expressed an interest in voting for Ko, but he appreciated the way that the DPP had positioned Taiwan on the global stage. “[Over] the last eight years, I have seen Taiwan become more international, more people know where is Taiwan, and who we are.”

"Keep Taiwan free" flags at a Democratic Progressive Party rally in Taipei, Taiwan, on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.
“Keep Taiwan free” flags at a Democratic Progressive Party rally in Taipei, Taiwan, on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.

Over the course of more than three hours, the crowd, most of them much older than Dean, rose again and again from red plastic stools in time with rousing music, transforming the 10-lane road into a sea of waving pink and green flags, peppered with banners proclaiming “Keep Taiwan Free” and rainbow LGBTQ flags bearing DPP insignia.

Lai told the crowd that he would ensure security, democratic governance and incorporate opposition opinions: “Peace depends on our own strength and should not be contingent on the invader’s goodwill… What [Taiwanese people] are fighting against are not each other, but our common predicament,” he said, according to state-backed Focus Taiwan.

‘I don’t trust Kuomintang’

Former civil servant Emily Hsu, 71, told HKFP: “I think the young generation didn’t see how hard we [fought for] democracy from the Kuomintang. They are too close to mainland China… I don’t trust Kuomintang – no way.”

From the stage, which was positioned in front of the dramatically lit Presidential Office Building, DPP heavyweights – including former culture minister Cheng Li-chiun and Premier Chen Chien-jen – delivered speeches and Kaohsiung rockers Fire Ex led a rendition of political anthem Stand Up Like a Taiwanese.

Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen (centre), Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te (third from left) and his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim (third from right) at an election rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.
Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen (centre), Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te (third from left) and his running mate Hsiao Bi-khim (third from right) at an election rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.

The band played at President Tsai Ing-wen’s inauguration in 2016, and has lent its support to issues such as the student-led Sunflower Movement, same-sex marriage and promoting a uniquely Taiwanese identity.

It was Tsai, who will leave office after serving the maximum two terms, that elicited the loudest cheers of the evening – any frustrations attached to her incumbent administration cast aside by those in the crowd. She was flanked on stage by DPP presidential candidate Lai Ching-te and his running mate Hsiao Bi Khim, Taiwan’s former representative to the US.

Tens of thousands of supporters of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.
Tens of thousands of supporters of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.

By the time Lai appeared on stage, Wei, 28, had been waiting for several hours to see the man who may become his next president. Wei, who worked in real estate and was at the rally with a colleague, said he was there because he was not yet sure who to vote for on Saturday.

“I want to listen to [the candidates] first before I decide,” he said.

‘We never want to start a war’

While Taiwan’s last general election played out against the backdrop of protests in Hong Kong, for 2024 it is conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza that cast their shadows amid a growing threat from Beijing.

See also: Taiwan election 2024 – Ukraine conflict stirs growing fears of war as voters mull ways to counter the ‘China threat’

US intelligence agencies have said Beijing will attempt to make a move on Taiwan – which China considers a breakaway province to be unified by force, if necessary – and that China’s leader Xi Jinping had told his military to be prepared to invade by 2027. US President Joe Biden has vowed, four times, to defend Taiwan from attack, though it is uncertain as to whether Washington would directly involve itself in a conflict.

Tens of thousands of supporters of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.
Tens of thousands of supporters of Democratic Progressive Party candidate Lai Ching-te rally in Taipei, Taiwan on January 11, 2024. Photo: Kyle Lam/HKFP.

One rally-goer, Hank Chan, 31, however, told HKFP that he was not too concerned about a potential war: “China’s economy is not too strong – a little weak – so, I think Taiwan [feels] more confident.”

His friend, Diego Chiu, added that he hoped the DPP would maintain the status quo in order to keep the peace, albeit without Taipei being dragged into the US “military complex.”

“I only want the US as a deterrent, instead of being the back-seat driver exploiting… people fighting each other,” the 35-year-old said.

As for military threats, Hsu, the retired civil servant, said she was not worried: “Democratic countries – we never want to start a war… the USA, all the democracies, will help us.”

Additional reporting: Tom Grundy

Dateline:

Taipei, Taiwan

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Mercedes is a British journalist who has been based in Hong Kong since 2012. At Hong Kong Free Press, she has covered a number of local environmental issues, including climate inequality and marine biodiversity, and explored how Hong Kong's arts scene reflects a changing city. She has contributed to the Guardian and BBC Travel, and previously worked at the South China Morning Post, where she wrote a weekly column about the social and environmental impact of tourism in Asia.